Category Archives: Viva!

الحال الفلسطيني المائل بين قيادات مهترئة ونزاعات حزبية واحتلال

 

الحال الفلسطيني المائل

بين قيادات مهترئة ونزاعات حزبية واحتلال

 

بينما يتزايد الاحتلال في بطشه كل يوم. منطقة تُضمُّ عنوة، مستوطنة أخرى يُقرّ بناؤها، أو بيت يُهدم، او عائلة تُشرّد، او ابن يستشهد، او أخ يُصاب، أو زوج \ابن\أخ \أب يُعتقل.

مشاهد قمع لا تتوقف، بل يتم ابتكارها علينا ومن خلالنا، باتت يومية ولا نكترث حتى لحصولها. فسياسة الضم والعزل والفصل والتهجير القصري تسير على أحسن وجه. ما من معترض إلا من يناله المصاب.

تعنّت إسرائيلي يُحاصرنا ويُكبّلنا بين معاملة خانقة وحواجز وجدار يلتف حولنا يكاد يكتم علينا أنفاسنا. يحدّ في كل يوم من إنسانيتنا ويُحجّم من طموحنا وآمالنا.

القدس تتهوّد على مرأى العين. كم صرخنا، وظنّنا أنّا انتصرنا في منع البوابات الالكترونية عن مداخل المسجد الأقصى، وكم ننظر اليوم إلى ما يحصل من فتح لجسر معلق يؤدي مباشرة الى باحات الأقصى يعجّ بالمستوطنين المتطرفين؟ كم ننظر الى ما يجري بباب الرحمة ونتساءل بلا أجوبة تمكّن أحدا من الفهم لما يتم تحضيره لاستياء ربما لما تبقّى من رمزية لقدسيّة المدينة بطابعها العربي. صراخ بلا صوت. وشكوى بلا مجيب. وحياة من اجل الصراع على البقاء تستمر بلا حساب ليوم أشد سوادا قادم.

بين مآس لا تنتهي، وطغيان يمتد كالسرطان في أحشائنا ….

يتزايد اهتراء قيادتنا السياسية ويمتد العت فيها الى نسيجنا المجتمعيّ.

. فالأفق لا تزال تضيق في سمائنا، لدرجة لم يعد هناك امل في اصلاح او تغيير. نسمع نفس التصريحات المترددة من نفس الاشخاص الذين هرموا وهم يرددون نفس الشعارات التي لم تعد تصلح حتى للواقع، ليس فقط للزمن.

وتتردد التهديدات الجوفاء نحو مقاطعة او الذهاب الى محكمة الجنايات او وقف تنسيق أمني، ولا يصدقها من يرددها ولا من يسمعها.

والوعود المستمرة المتجددة بانتخابات لن تحصل. وحملات انتخابية يشتد وطيدها لكل متأمل بمركز أبدي محتمل قادم.

وتستمر التنديدات الخرقاء “احيانا” مع كل خرق اسرائيلي يطال الارض والانسان. وتقِلّ مطالبنا ويسقط سقف توقعاتنا مع كل لحظة عابرة …

الا عند النزاعات الداخلية التي تزداد وكأنها حفرة رملية زاحفة تلتهم كل ما يلامس أطرافها. فعداوتنا لبعض بين فتح وحماس باتت أشد من عداوتنا لإسرائيل. يتلصص كل صاحب غرمه لغريمه ينتظر أي هفوة. مع إيران أو ضدها، يعتمد على الفصيل الواقف على طرف الموالاة او الانشقاق.

وبين سباق لمن يتفاوض مع إسرائيل سراً أو علانية من كلا الحزبين المتناحرين. والتلويح بالوطن كالثوب المخروق المهترئ. يبيع كل حزب ما طاب له مما تبقى من وطن. حرفا وكلمة. أرضا أو خارطة.

ويتسابق كلٌّ للبكاء والعويل ومدّ اليد في طلب عون على شهيد سقط وبيت دمر … ويستمر الشعب على حافتي ما كان وطنا تشقه أحزاب تبيع الدين مرة وتبيع التحرر مرة اخرى. وامتلأت صرخاتهم واكاذيبهم والاعيبهم أرضنا وفضاءنا، وخنقتنا وأغرقتنا …

ونخرج في “انطلاقات” مليونيه لهذا الفصيل وذاك لنتسابق للتلويح بأعلام حزبية ليكون علم الفصيل هو الأبقى لمرحلة يُراد لها ان تُشكل حالنا.

نستغل فواجع الآباء والأمهات على فلذات أكبادهم ليتناحر الغرماء لرفع علم أصفر أو أخضر..

ويستمر الاحتلال في عربدته …

ويستمر الفلسطينيون في بث سمومهم على بعضهم البعض…

فدعوات في المساجد تدعو للحرب على الآخر..

نكمل من الداخل تحطيم ما لم يحطمه الاحتلال، ويتجمع المتناحرون من الفصائل بالسياسة على “سيداو” لتصير لسان حال كل غيّور على شرفه الذي يشكّله حجاب امرأة أو حرية تمكنها منها سيداو. او بالأحرى، تسلبه حريته في تسلطه بلا رادع ولا حسيب ضد المرأة. وكأن المرأة في المجتمع الفلسطيني صارت مجرد كائن ناقص لم تحارب ولم تناضل ولم تعتقل ولم تستشهد. كأن المرأة في المجتمع الفلسطيني مجرد أداة للإنجاب ولم تربِّ ولم تتعلم ولم تشتغل ولم تقف جنبا إلى جنب في معترك الحياة مع الرجل كان ابنها أو زوجها أو أخيها أو أبيها.

ونزيد من نكبتنا نكبة..

ونفكك ما لم يستطع الاحتلال بسنواته الطويلة تفكيكه من وحدة واخوة لنصبح يوما تلو اليوم أضحوكة العالم.

تمر أزمات المشرق امامنا ولا يعنينا منها الا انتصارنا لآخر ما على شقي النزاع في المكان الاخر. تدق اوزار حرب عالمية أخرى ولا شأن لنا الا خياراتنا الخاصة. أصبحنا متفرجين خلف الشاشات، ولم نعد حتى جنود في لعبة الشطرنج الدائرة.

يصبح النزاع الفلسطيني أكبر من القضية الفلسطينية.

تصبح “سيداو” أكثر عداوة للمجتمع الفلسطيني من ضم الأغوار ومما يجري من تربص لا يرحم بباب الرحمة.

يصبح ابن حماس اشد عداوة من جندي الاحتلال

ويصبح ابن فتح منشق مرتد يستحق رجمه

ويستمر الاحتلال بشد الخناق بين حاجز وشارع وجدار

وينجز الفلسطيني بين حال مائل وخنوع ونعرة قبلية هوجاء جوفاء ما لم يستطع انجازه الاحتلال.

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Open Thread | So Now, Iran Has Retaliated

Well, here’s the thing. They killed the number two guy in Iran. And, they have no reason for it.

He was always a bad man. He was a bad man back when Clinton was President. But, Clinton, Bush 43, and Obama knew enough that killing him wasn’t really an option. They understood that when you attack someone like this, it doesn’t really go your way. Especially, if you have anyone with any kind of knowledge, history and RESPECT of your perspective enemy.

We don’t have a functioning State Department. Dolt45 is surrounded by idiots and Islamaphobic idiots.

I’ve been telling you – sleep on the Persians if you want to. Do it at your own peril.

So now that things haven’t turned out the way they thought it would…they’ve got Pompeo out here lying with no justifications.

Then, there is the craven Nikki Haley, who should just STFU – on General Principle.

Specifically, the former ambassador told the national television audience, “The only ones that are mourning the loss of Soleimani are our Democrat leadership and our Democrat presidential candidates. No one else in the world.”

It wasn’t a throwaway line that Haley made in the heat of the moment. On the contrary, she took pride in smearing Democratic leaders and needlessly questioning their patriotism, promoting the quote via social media.

It matters, of course, that Haley was brazenly lying. It matters that she used deliberately wrong grammar as a way of staying true to a tired tribal game. It matters that the former ambassador talks up the importance of “civility” in politics, even while falsely accusing Americans of “mourning” a terrorist’s death.

Bish, please. If you don’t get the ENTIRE Phuck Outta Here.

Many have said that Dolt45 wanted his Osama Bin Laden moment, and it’s not exactly turning out that way.

Even Netanyahu is running as fast and as far as his slithery self can go. Did you ever think you’d see the moment when Bibi could find something that he wouldn’t praise Dolt45 for? Not that he doesn’t support it, but because Iranian missiles will hit Israel far sooner than they’d hit American soil.

The raging narcissist President, senses that it’s not going well for him, so he’s gonna throw out Race Bannon to do a bullshyt speech on why we attacked Iran. Now, think on this….he didn’t do any National Address…and, it’s been how many days? And, we have to wait how many more for Pence’s lying speech?

And, just to keep count, we’ve had the SIXTH high level person from the Pentagon to resign in short order. At what point will the MSM FINALLY focus on this story, and what these resignations are telling us about what’s happening at the Pentagon?

These are perilous times. The Republican Party is full of cowards, and this should never be forgotten. They all need to be held accountable for their basic fundamental betrayal of this country in the era of Dolt45.

Now that the Iranians have retaliated …what will happen next? We don’t have any rational actors on our side.

 

 https://twitter.com/juliamacfarlane/status/1214691368787988482

I may be jumping the gun but such an attack which US forces must be ready for in Iraq and which is being trumpeted on TV in Iran looks like a way for Iran to make a lot of domestic noise with little damage. If they really wanted to hit back this is not the drastic way I think. https://t.co/DlVmKJbkWc

— Ali Shihabi (@aliShihabi) January 7, 2020

The best-case scenario was always that Iran launched a retaliation:
— symbolically significant enough that it could move on
— limited enough in damage that the US could shrug it off
— with no loss of life, civilian or military

Here’s hoping that’s what this is.

— Max Fisher (@Max_Fisher) January 7, 2020

Iran is practicing its right under international law to self defense as stipulated by Article 51 of UN Charter. The targets are not “Americans” or civilians, but combatants who have been asked to withdraw from Iraqi sovereign territory

— Amal Saad (@amalsaad_lb) January 7, 2020

The government response to the bushfire crisis has been evasive, tepid, tone-deaf and above all, too late | Kevin Rudd

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The Tony Abbott denialist cult has taken over the Coalition but there are productive things the government can do

​It’s hard to know what to write in the midst of a national apocalypse.​​

I’m like most Australians, feeling every shade of human emotion each day as we see this living tragedy unfold before us. Each morning comes with a dull thud as we wake to the awful realisation that the new day could still be worse than the last.

Continue reading…

Even 50-year-old climate models correctly predicted global warming

via aleksey godin

heatwave_1280p.jpg?itok=8naDwFDw

Climate models dating back to the early 1970s accurately foretold how greenhouse gases would fuel a hotter future, such as the July heat wave that sent Parisians flocking to the Fountaine du Trocadéro.

Samuel Boivin/NurPhoto via Getty Images

By Warren CornwallDec. 4, 2019 , 12:00 PM

Climate change doubters have a favorite target: climate models. They claim that computer simulations conducted decades ago didn’t accurately predict current warming, so the public should be wary of the predictive power of newer models. Now, the most sweeping evaluation of these older models—some half a century old—shows most of them were indeed accurate.

“How much warming we are having today is pretty much right on where models have predicted,” says the study’s lead author, Zeke Hausfather, a graduate student at the University of California, Berkeley.

Climate scientists first began to use computers to predict future global temperatures in the early 1970s. That’s when newfound computing power coincided with a growing realization that rising carbon dioxide levels could boost global temperatures. As the issue gained public attention, critics questioned the reliability of rudimentary model predictions. Even a 1989 news article in Science radiated skepticism, stating that “climatologists may have a gut feeling that the greenhouse effect is heating up the Earth, but they have not been close to proving it.”

Today, the models are much more sophisticated. Mainframe computers driven by paper punch cards have given way to supercomputers running trillions of calculations in 1 second. Modern models account for myriad interactions, including ice and snow, changes in forest coverage, and cloud formation—things that early modelers could only dream of doing. But Hausfather and his colleagues still wanted to see how accurate those bygone models really were.

The researchers compared annual average surface temperatures across the globe to the surface temperatures predicted in 17 forecasts. Those predictions were drawn from 14 separate computer models released between 1970 and 2001. In some cases, the studies and their computer codes were so old that the team had to extract data published in papers, using special software to gauge the exact numbers represented by points on a printed graph.

Most of the models accurately predicted recent global surface temperatures, which have risen approximately 0.9°C since 1970. For 10 forecasts, there was no statistically significant difference between their output and historic observations, the team reports today in Geophysical Research Letters.

Global temperatures have risen approximately 0.9°C since 1970, though some areas have warmed much more than others.

Berkeley Earth

Seven older models missed the mark by as much as 0.1°C per decade. But the accuracy of five of those forecasts improved enough to match observations when the scientists adjusted a key input to the models: how much climate-changing pollution humans have emitted over the years. That includes greenhouse gases and aerosols, tiny particles that reflect sunlight. Pollution levels hinge on a host of unpredictable factors. Emissions might rise or fall because of regulations, technological advances, or economic booms and busts.

To take one example, Hausfather points to a famous 1988 model overseen by then–NASA scientist James Hansen. The model predicted that if climate pollution kept rising at an even pace, average global temperatures today would be approximately 0.3°C warmer than they actually are. That has helped make Hansen’s work a popular target for critics of climate science.

Hausfather found that most of this overshoot was caused not by a flaw in the model’s basic physics, however. Instead, it arose because pollution levels changed in ways Hansen didn’t predict. For example, the model overestimated the amount of methane—a potent greenhouse gas—that would go into the atmosphere in future years. It also didn’t foresee a precipitous drop in planet-warming refrigerants like some Freon compounds after international regulations from the Montreal Protocol became effective in 1989.

When Hausfather’s team set pollution inputs in Hansen’s model to correspond to actual historical levels, its projected temperature increases lined up with observed temperatures.

The new findings echo what many in the climate science world already know, says Piers Forster, an expert in climate modeling at the United Kingdom’s University of Leeds. Still, he says, “It’s nice to see it confirmed.”

Forster notes that even today’s computer programs have some uncertainties. But, “We know enough to trust our climate models” and their message that urgent action is needed, he says.

The new research is a useful exercise that “should provide some confidence that models can be used to help provide guidance regarding energy policies,” adds Hansen, now director of the Climate Science, Awareness and Solutions Program at Columbia University.

He communicated with Science from Madrid, where world leaders are gathering this week for the 25th annual United Nations climate conference. Delegates from around the world are negotiating how to implement emissions cuts agreed to at the 2016 meeting in Paris. Meanwhile, a U.N. report issued last month showed greenhouse gas emissions have continued to climb since then, and that many of the biggest polluting countries aren’t on track to meet their promises.

Trump threatens to bomb Iranian cultural sites

Mafia wannabe Don Donald Trump has warned that he is ready to bomb sites important to Iranian culture if Teheran retaliates against the assassination of a top Iranian general hat he ordered earlier this week. In an astounding threat, which some experts say will amount to a war crime if it is carried out, the US President raised the stakes in his confrontation with Iran to unprecedented levels.