Global minimum estimates of children affected by COVID-19-associated orphanhood and deaths of caregivers: a modeling study – The Lancet (1,134,000)

Globally, from March 1, 2020, to April 30, 2021, we estimate 1,134 ,000 children (95% credible interval 884, 000–1 ,185, 000) experienced the death of primary caregivers, including at least one parent or custodial grandparent. 1, 562, 000 children (1, 299, 000–1, 683, 000) experienced the death of at least one primary or secondary caregiver. Countries in our study set with primary caregiver death rates of at least one per 1000 children included Peru (10·2 per 1000 children), South Africa (5·1), Mexico (3·5), Brazil (2·4), Colombia (2·3), Iran (1·7), the USA (1·5), Argentina (1·1), and Russia (1·0). Numbers of children orphaned exceeded numbers of deaths among those aged 15–50 years. Between two and five times more children had deceased fathers than deceased mothers. Source: Global minimum estimates of children affected by COVID-19-associated orphanhood and deaths of caregivers: a modelling study – The Lancet