Erdogan reacted obstinately to the protests in the summer, berating his critics as \”bums\” and having his security forces fire tear gas at them. He has also proved to be relentless in the current crisis. Some 500 police officers have been transferred, and Erdogan also attempted, albeit unsuccessfully, to gain control over investigations by decree. But in contrast to the Gezi protests, this time Erdogan will not be able to bring the crisis under control by taking a tough approach. It is already becoming clear that the scandal could break apart his party.
Erdogan\’s goal of having himself elected president in the summer is becoming more and more tenuous. He would like to endow the position with significantly more power, but he is now unlikely to secure the necessary two-thirds majority in parliament. But under Turkey\’s Political Parties Law, he can no longer run for prime minister. It\’s possible that he will try to rewrite the law to remain in power, but there is already growing resistance within the AKP to such a move. President Abdullah Gül, in particular, now opposes his longtime ally.
Finally, the economy, the most important factor in persuading many citizens to vote for Erdogan, is growing weaker. The Turkish lira recently fell to a record low. Foreign investment, which brought in capital that fueled the boom of recent years, has been in decline for some time. If investors continue to withdraw money from Turkey, the result could be an economic slump, which could cost Erdogan votes.
The opposition is sending a candidate with serious prospects of winning the race for mayor of Istanbul in next March\’s local elections. This makes AKP officials increasingly nervous, because they know that whoever loses Istanbul will lose Turkey.
via Erdogan Threatened By Expanding Turkey Corruption Scandal – SPIEGEL ONLINE.
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